The Monmouth Stakes looks like a great betting opportunity. Big Brown will likely be 4-5 in here and would not be a surprise to be up the track. The field in the Haskell was weak for a 3YO Grade 1 with Coal Play coming back in the Travers only to be shellacked at a huge price. This three year old crop needs to prove itself against older before they have the right to be favored. With Big Brown the likely favorite, the value here is tremendous and it is not everyday you can toss a heavy favorite with such ease from the top two frames.
Even though this custom made race is ungraded it is versus older Graded stakes winner and is a huge step up in class for the Brown one. Brown may this custom, made to order race needs to see the tailor before he fits in perfectly. Other than the class issues there is the nagging foot issues with Big Brown. If class and bad feet are not enough to make you toss Big Brown then there is the trainer, while Dutrow who is great extracting for a few months of sterling form out of his horses, he is also known for having his horses hit a wall if they stay in training for too long. It is time Big Brown hits the wall.
The basic move here is to box the class older horses in here in exactas, tri and supers.
#3 Shakis / #6 Proudinsky / #7 Drum Major / #11 Silver Tree boxed in every thing.
Power cap- existential handicapping
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4 comments:
I'm going to have to disagree. The field is poor, he should win.
It is good to disagree in this game. Disagreement is the fuel that powers the parimutuel pools.
I like the way you put it lol.
Yep, I got burned like deadwood in the fire. Luckily this fuel is a renewable resource.
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