Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

28 March 2009

Grade I Play Of The Day 28MAR09




Gulfstream Race 10 Florida Derby

There are umpteen different analysis versions available for this race. If they don't tell you that Quality Road lays over this field they are not looking at this race properly or they have found themselves filling in the unfortunate role of pari-mutuel patsy. Some are even saying that two or three horses in this race are closely matched. Not only should these cappers not be betting this race but they should head to the DMV for an eye exam. The field may be closely matched in the paddock but at the wire Quality Road is going to be all alone. Adding to the appeal Quality Road is the morning line second choice. With hype horse Dunkirk sure to take win money like a pari-mutuel black hole you may even see 9-5 on Quality Road. When you go to the windows tell em Powercapper sent you and make a stout bet on Quality Road. If you have been infected with some sort of greed-like affliction call out an exacta with Dunkirk tossed from both slots with Q.R. keyed up top to placate your greedy tendencies.

Win #2 Q.R.

Quality Stats


69 15-9-10
strike rate 22%
cumulative return $146.90
$2 ROI $2.13

5 comments:

SaratogaSpa said...

Love the confidence Powercapper. Lets see what happens, i will be watching the board before I make my pick

Amateurcapper said...

BIG DRAMA just set a track record setting the pace the whole way in the Swale S.

THIS ONE'S FOR PHIL made a run at him but wasn't going to get by the winner despite the head margin.

17 minutes to post, QUALITY ROAD 7-2 and DUNKIRK 1-5!!!

Good luck.

Power Cap said...

I am beside myself looking at this board. 1-5 on Dunkirk? On this speed biased track? Against a lone speed Quality Road? For an over-confident fool like myself this is almost too good to be true. If Quality Road's parade activity is positive I have to double the power bet into a monster power bet on Quality Road.

Power Cap said...

Quality Road dispatched the ladder up to me and I was able to make it down from the slimmest of limbs in one piece. After opening up at 7-2 Quality Road got hammered all the way down to 6-5. When Dunkirk took the edge in the lane it looked somewhat grim for the Road. However Quality Road showed a huge amount of gameness, speed, class and determination to reclaim the lead and win drawing away, well clear of his well bet rival.

Stats

70 16-9-10
strike rate 23%
cumulative return $151.30
$2 ROI $2.16

Power Cap said...

Here are the stats for the 2009 plays.


2009 Stats

14 8-1-1
strike rate 57%
cumulative return 57.10
$2 ROI $4.08