When I looked at this race I quickly noticed that Admiralty was entered and I internally blurted "lock!" Then I see that he was recently thumped at Delaware for a tag and was rather flat in the lane last time at Belmont. Was this same horse that beat stakes horse Mambo In Seattle in the open allowance after the 2008 Big Brown derby? He clearly has lost that three year old form and has disappointed since that last win 18 months ago. With a vulnerable heavy favorite this race could yield a longshot winner.
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| From Power Cap |
My longshot pick in here is Awesome Mich. He is one of only two horses entered for the three year old condition -the other is Lohad- which gives him a class edge over the non winners of three lifetime condition runners. Mich is going to require some forgiveness for the ugly runs over the sloppy tracks at Monmouth and Meadowlands. It seems that he couldn't even stand up in the mud so I hereby abolish him of his cross-Hudson sloppy track sins. This is a gelding that has beaten 30N3L at Monmouth; now he gets to run for 10N3L. At 12-1 he is a good value play up top, and with the track fast he should run his race.
Aqueduct Race 5
Win #8 Awesome Mich
Stats
52 19-7-5
strike rate 37%
cumulative return 148.40
$2 ROI $2.85
6 comments:
Awesome Powercap.
RG
Dat's a Bang from where we come from!!
Awesome Mich was indeed awesome setting the pace and grudgingly holding on for the win. He paid a generous $17.80 as once again the public fumbled this condition. The big story was that Awesome Mich keyed huge exotics including $2228, $4359 and $1423 pick 3s and a $146K pick 4. The heavy favorite Admiralty meekly faded in the lane; this horse is a shadow of his former self. Awesome Mich was our hero today. He was simply Awesome.
Stats
53 20-7-5
strike rate 38%
cumulative return 166.20
$2 ROI $3.14
You are simply awesome...
Do you still mess with the ny board? I haven't seen a post from you in some time. Keep it up my friend...Cice
Cice...The New York board is a city divided. They will need Gorbachev to tear down that wall for me to return to active involvement.
I agree and I hear you, LOL! Not what is used to be, hopefully it will go back to its glory days...Cice
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