Arkansas Derby GI
As discussed earlier this week Papa Clem is a colt I am anxious to play in the Arkansas derby. First time on dirt Friesan Fire blow his doors off on a sloppy track but he held gamely for place. Don't let the win margin in a slop race fool you, they frequently are won by 10 or more lengths providing a visual illusion of superiority for the winner. Papa Clem ran a nice race in defeat. It looks like the trainer has had Papa at Oaklawn for the last three weeks and he has been working up a storm. He draws a nice inside post for his run style and 2nd time dirt should move him up. If there is any type of inside speed bias Papa is the horse that will benefit the most. I like this horse quite a bit at 6-1 and will play him to win, if Old Fashioned decides to rate it is lights out and the others will not catch Papa Clem.
W #2 Papa Clem
Stats
15 8-1-1
strike rate 53%
cumulative return 57.10
$2 ROI $3.81
Power cap- existential handicapping
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4 comments:
SHHH!!!
Also, don't go in too heavy! I'd like to get at least 4-1 on PAPA and an exacta w/ WIN WILLY.
Out of the three contenders you zeroed in on the right horse at 4/1 Papa Clem...Nice call
Way to Go..
Papa made Power Cap proud and improved on the dirt as expected. $10 on the nose for those that bet this power winner of the day.
2009 stats
16 9-1-1
strike rate 56%
cumulative return 67.10
$2 ROI $4.19
Thank goodness for all the OLD FASHIONED fans sending it in. Right back at you for PAPA CLEM. Now, I'll be honest that I was a bit worried to see him back in 5th down the backside and he didn't roll by OF like I thought he would. But, the cashier doesn't ask for style points.
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