Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

07 August 2009

Descending On The Arlington Million




Like Al Capone before me a Brooklyn born Mediterranean-American is heading to Chicago to make it big in gambling. Capone took over the Chicago underworld, I'm just looking to take in the sights and hopefully hit the all-stakes pick 3. The consensus is that Arlington is one of the best venues to enjoy American horse racing. After many years of watching the Arlington Million on TV and wishing I was there I have finally committed a summer weekend to visiting Chicago and attending America's best turf race.

All stakes pick 3

The highlight of the Arlington Million program is the all-turf all-stakes pick 3.

Secretariat Stakes
The morning like favorite is Giant Oak, he looks live enough to be a tough toss but he can be beat. He had a tough trip last out and could redeem himself here. The winner of the American Derby Reb ran his eyeballs out and is a must user. Leparoux called him green after the last win so there is room for improvement. Oil Man caused all the trouble last out but is another user second time over the course. The bomb pick here is Laureate Conductor; an improving colt for the sharp Clemente barn. Using four colts here; 4,5,8,10

Beverly D
Using three girl horses here, the favorite Pure Clan and will throw in Dynaforce as well who could improve second time over the surface. The bomb pick is again ridden by Dominguez; the Canadian invader Points Og Grace. Using 2,3,7

Arlington Million
The favorite here is Gio Ponti and while he has been brilliant all year asking him to win his forth is a row is a tall order. He will be used defensively. Einstein has had another smart year and this classy horse is a winner and must be used. The other two I am going to cover are European shippers, Gloria De Campeao and Cima de Triomphe. Using 1,6,7,8

All stakes pick 3 draft 4,5,8,10 / 2,3,7 / 1,6,7,8 = $48 (I didn't travel 800 miles to rip tickets/if I covered too many so be it)

7 comments:

malcer said...

Good luck and have a great weekend!

Jessica said...

Greg, have a great trip. Looking forward to reading all about Arlington when you return.

Mark Ripple said...

I am going to go with # 6-GIO PONTI first as I can find no weaknesses with this dynamic horse who has already has THREE Grade I victories.
I'll take #2-PRESIOUS PASSION for second. Definitely the pacesetter, it may be a tough trick to catch him if the fractions aren't too fast.
I'll go out on a limb and take #3-JUST AS WELL for third. He's in great form, and hopefully can rise to the occasion with a new Beyer high.

Mark Ripple,Author,
Handicapping the Wall Street Way

malcer said...

Just had a first look over those races myself. You should consider throwing in Alnadana in the Beverly D. Her last form is good enough and I can't imagine that a trainer like Royer-Dupre would send a top jockey like Soumillion over the pond for a single race (during Deauville's meet) if they aren't confident about her chances.

Amateurcapper said...

PC,

Enjoy!

If you check this for comments, since you're using CIMA DE TRIOMPHE may I suggest using STOSTFOLD in a smaller ticket or as a "saver" win bet if alive in the last leg? He was only 1 length back when they last met despite trouble while CIMA rallied unimpeded. SWINBURN sounded confident in a Telegraph interview but did note he felt CIMA was the one to beat.

The track is beuatiful...enjoy every bit of it!

Amateurcapper said...

Oh, if only STOTS could have stayed on...my pop and you used GIO PONTI so I did defensively in an exacta box w/ STOTS and CIMA with a W/P on STOTS at 28-1 as well!!! That darn JUST AS WELL!

The game can be so cruel...then I see a beautiful track like Arlington Park and felt better (a little) knowing you enjoyed the day...can't wait to see your photos and read your comments.

Amateurcapper said...

MARK RIPPLE,

You snake :-)!!! Your JUST AS WELL necked me out of a place bet and exacta. Great LS call...too bad I didn't have the foresight to put your picks with mine in a tri...would'a, could'a, should'a!