Belmont Park Race 9
Looks like lone speed on #1 Honorable Truth. This mare should have things all her own way on the front end. The amazing Rudy Rodriguez should have her ready to take this field wire to wire. My play here is to single her at the end of a pick 3 that will go 5,8,9 / ALL/ 1 and a little pick 3 punch play of ALL / 3,6 / 1. If Honorable Truth scratches and her entrymate runs we will consider this no play. For statistical purposes this will count as a win bet on Honorable Truth.
Race 7- Looks like the three ML choices are all speed horses. Hoping one of three price horses pick up the pieces to start the pick 3 right.
Race 8 - Looks like a fairly wide open event but I favor Granted Tiger on the cutback and the European raider Yorksters Girl.
Race 9 Win #1 Honorable Truth
stats
13 3-2-1
strike rate 23%
cumulative return $58.80
$2 ROI $4.960
average winner $19.60
Power cap- existential handicapping
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2 comments:
Nicely done there, the chalk getting beat in the feature juiced up the payoffs on the pick three and the double.
When they let the even money chalk lone speed go 26 and 52 on the lead she has a good shot to win. Honorable Truth did. While the $4.00 win mutuel actually reduced our ROI we were able to cash in on our pick 3 play to tune of $165.25 for $32 invested. A good value play for a even money favorite.
stats
14 4-2-1
strike rate 29%
cumulative return $62.80
$2 ROI $4.49
average winner $15.70
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