Better get to know a Derby prospect: Stay Thirsty

First Impression: His Florida Derby was nothing great, but he beat the Wood Memorial winner in the Gotham.

The case for this horse winning the Derby: There has been a long and storied history of lesser known stable-mates outrunning their more famous counterparts in the Derby. Real Quiet won instead of Indian Charlie, Thunder Gulch was victorious over Timber Country, and Sir Barton got to the wire first instead of Billy Kelly. Who am I kidding, instead of beating around the bush on this one I might as well come out and say it. BET THE HOME EQUITY LOAN ON THIS ONE, HAVE WE NOT SEEN THIS OUTCOME BEFORE? LOOK ABOVE, THAT IS THE BEST HISTORY STATISTIC YOU WILL SEE LEADING TO THIS DERBY. DOSAGE? MORE LIKE NODOZ, THE ABOVE STATISTIC IS ONE THAT YOU CAN TURN INTO YOUR OWN PERSONAL ATM.

The case against: Only two races with his most recent being a poor showing and got his season started in early March, sounds slightly familiar.

The winner of the Gotham as not had a great recent history at all. Awesome Act was the “wise guy” horse in the Derby last year and that did not end well. I Want Revenge won the Wood Memorial and hasn’t been the same since his injury leading up to the Derby. The last horse that went on to any significance after their win in the Gotham was Red Bullet back in 2000, when he stunned the racing world by defeating Fusaichi Pegasus in the Preakness. Stay Thristy looked good in his layoff comeback victory with his first victory around two turns and shaking off the rust of a long break. Third off the layoff with some foundation and the recent poor effort will certainly offer some value.