Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

21 May 2009

Rachel Alexandra Wannabe




The typically conservative Angel Penna Jr. has entered three year old filly Warm Shower against older males in Thursday's 8th race at Belmont. Is this aggressive entry the start of Rachel Alexandra fever? Is Rachel's success against the boys a watershed event that will initiate a trend of girl horses racing against and beating boy horses? At 12-1 morning line Warm Shower will provide a nice return if she can beat the well regarded Unbridled's Heart and the rest of the field. The barn thought enough of Warm Shower to nominate her to the Sands Point this weekend. With this information two things are clear to us that might not be so clear to the rest of the wagering public. The barn loves the filly and she is doing great right now. Rather than wait for a spot in a few weeks that may not fill they need a race A.S.A.P. and will take on the boys. With all of the male-chauvinist pigs disregarding Warm Shower due to her perceived inferior gender we will surely get a great price. Chalk it up as the play of the day.

Belmont Race 8

W# 3 Warm Shower

23 10-2-1
strike rate 43%
cumulative return 73.70
$2 ROI $3.20

4 comments:

Ghostsnapper said...

I hope Rachel does start a trend in American owners and trainers entering more fillies against the colts. It seems everywhere else in the world already practices this regularly, and it's silly we've got a complex against it.

Power Cap said...

Warm Shower scratched and likely race in the Sands Point next week. Unbridled's Heart barely held on for third at 1-5 and almost triggered a bridgejumper meltdown.

Sid Fernando said...

Angel Penna Jr. did train champion Christmas Past to defeat males in the G1 Gulfstream Park Handicap as a 4-year-old in 1983; and as a 3-year-old in 1982, the filly ran against olders males in the G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup -- finishing 3rd!
Also, note that his father trained San San and Allez France to win the Arc against colts.

Power Cap said...

Warm Shower came back to run a solid second to Gozzip Girl in the Sands Point. She outran her longsshot odds. The Penna barn has been firing on all cylinders.