The focus shifts out west to Keeneland and Santa Anita this week. Both tracks have great cards for Saturday while New York racing devolves into something only the most hardened of degenerates could withstand. In the Shadwell Mile Justenuffhumor looks like the best miler on this side of the Atlantic and be anxoius to see him win his first GI. However the real sultry action is at Santa Anita this weekend.
In the Del Mar Mile we have the first and second choice both front end runners. The favorite is Cowboy Cal. His gambit is running on the front end. The second choice also likes to run on the front end; that horse Monterey Jazz is a "need the lead" type of runner. With two of the most powerful horses dueling on the front end perhaps someone from the back of the back could take advantage a favorable pace scenario. A logical winner is Whatsthescript with Allicansayiswow providing longshot appeal. I like the sequence of races here and will start a pick three covering Skyrush, Global Hunter, Monterey Jazz, Allicansayiswow, Cowboy Cal and Whatsthescript.
Mine That Bird looked absolutely over the top in a very disappointing West Virgina derby run. He looks like he has no shot whatsoever in the Goodwood Stakes GI. The DRF even picked him to win which should be good for some sucker money in the wagering. Since the derby winner will be one of the favorites the Goodwood becomes a tremendous wagering opportunity. The logical one looks like Colonel John but I will spread a few deep in pick 3s covering Parading, Gitano Hernando, Richard's Kid, Monzante along with the Colonel. With Mine That Bird sure to be off the board this is a good race to play exactas and trifectas.
The last leg of the pick 3 is the Lady's Secret GI. This race will anchor my pick 3 play. While Zenatta has assembled an undefeated record this year her campaign has been a bit like the Harlem Globetrotters. Every time she races she gets to beat up on the same old Washington Generals. This time the Boston Celtics are coming to town and my money will be on the Celtics er. Cocoa Beach. Cocoa Beach is the first real challenge Zenyatta has had to face all year and I am going to gamble that she is not up to it. The single is Cocoa Beach. The reward in the pick 3 should be generous.
Santa Anita Race 6 Power 3 - 2,4,7,9,10 / 3,4,6,7,8 / 1
Santa Anita Race 8 Win #1 Cocoa Beach
Stats
47 16-7-4
strike rate 34%
cumulative return 117.50
$2 ROI $2.47
Showing posts with label Cocoa Beach. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cocoa Beach. Show all posts
09 October 2009
22 June 2009
Monsoons Lead To Two Day Carryover At Belmont
A weekend filled with rain and unlikely results resulted in a two day carryover of $154.9K for Wednesday's Belmont pick 6. The chief reason being the 1-9 upset of Cocoa Beach in the Floral Park stakes which not only drove the carryover but resulted in a bridgejumper taking the plunge. Of the $217,905 in the place pool, $198,846 was wagered on Cocoa Beach. A $20 bet on all in the place pool returned $591. Betting against irrational bridgejumpers is not only the best bet in racing but the best investment since man departed the barter system as the primary method of trade. More on the pick 6 caryover Wednesday morning.
21 June 2009
Another Day Of Monsoons
The monsoon season continues today at Belmont. Rains battered the track all night and continue with two hours to post. Cocoa Beach is the favorite in the featured Floral Park stakes and will shed blinkers but will race with snorkel on. The five day forecast has rain everyday this week. If you were hoping to see something green this week you better rent the Muppet Movie and check out Kermit because there will be no turf this week at Belmont.
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