Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

08 January 2009

Dutch Play Of The Day

We don't play on Tuesday to lets make up for it with a two-fer Thursday dutch play.

One pick is a miserable chalk who will properly pay $2.80 but is such a lock that I might as well endorse her just to bring up the win the win percentage. The other is a bomb with real shot who will pay over $40 if she gets to the wire first.

Aqueduct Race 3

The chalk here Seventh Street is absolute lone speed. She should be as loose as she wants to be and if the track is anything like it was yesterday she should be long gone. Wednesday's speed bias was powerful with the cold temps and wet track. The filly that finished right behind her returned to win yesterday. Take the short price on this filly or sit on your hands.

Win #3 Seventh Street

Aqueduct Race 4

In a field completely lacking speed Sassification is a filly who could be loose on the lead at 20-1 or more. She returns quickly after racing on a very tiring track last Thursday. That race had a few other front runners entered, this race has none and she drops in class. Check out her recency, she sports a work Monday morning and a race 7 days ago. Combine the recency, the drop in class and pace profile and this is a powerful key at a huge mutuel.

Win#7 Sassification

With these two picks back to back there are all sorts of exotic possibilites in the daily doubles, pick 3's and pick 4's.

57 8-9-9
strike rate 13%
cumulative return $94.20
$2 ROI $1.64


G. C. said...

The heavy chalk 7th street scored at 1-20 and Sass had a 6 length lead on the backstretch but tired in the lane. At least it was a thrill at 21-1.

59 9-9-10
strike rate 15%
cumulative return $96.80
$2 ROI $1.64

Anonymous said...

if you put in both bets it was a net loss on the day. As they say: another loser day

G. C. said...

It was super of you to check in Mrs. troll. Thank you for keeping me grounded, ego inflation is never an issue with you.