Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

02 April 2008

Saturday April Fifth Sam Houston Card

On Saturday the fifth of April Sam Houston has an excellent triple stakes card on tap. There is real opportunity here for every handicapper to make money as Sam Houston has 12% takeout on pick 3 and every stakes races has a very vulnerable favorite. This track and their low takeout pick 3 should be supported, I play there when I can. The combination of pool underutilization and low takeout yields many generous pick 3 payouts. This may be there last Saturday of the year for Sam Houston as the racing moves to Lone Star.

Race 5 is a turf stakes for fillies and mares the morning line favorite New Edition is racing off a long layoff and drew a horrendous outside post, with her being first time Asmussen she will take huge amounts of money. This is a good race to kick off a pick three using the logical contenders not named New Edition.

Race 7 is the Grade III Connelly Turf stakes, the probable heavy favorite from the Asmussen barn is Grade I winner Student Council. This horse has never won on turf and is a big bet against at a short price. The pick 3 from race five will end here and just glancing over it there are already two vulnerable chalks bookending the sequence.

Race 9 is a Turf Sprint stakes and features Golden Hare who is a $5K claimer that has rambled off 7 strait wins and 10 out of the last 12, he is a horse to admire and respect. Golden Hare is also from the Asmussen stable. Smitty Sunshine also looms large here.

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