Saratoga Race 8
It has been slow around here. Frankly I have not made a watched a card/made a bet from the Spa since July but that will will change today. Wolly Bear ships down from Canada to face NY bred females. She is a speed type alpha-mare and it looks like she will go unchallenged today on the front end. I really love that she has won at distances from 6.5 to 9 furlongs and the two bullet works look great. She could face some pressure from Jessica but that one is distance limited. Look at the 1 mile work as they attempt to stretch Jessica out beyond her ability. I think Jessica will be conserved and the Bear will be loose on the front end. Wolly Bear is a prime play at 8-1 morning line.
W#3 Wolly Bear
stats
23 7-2-3
strike rate 30%
cumulative return $77.90
$2 ROI $3.39
average winner $11.13
Power cap- existential handicapping
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2 comments:
No Bear on the front end. Wooly retreated like the tide. Did not class up and will have to find easier company in the "open" races. Jessica even won the race to rub some salt unto the wound.
stats
24 7-2-3
strike rate 29%
cumulative return $77.90
$2 ROI $3.25
average winner $11.13
Too fast, too long IMO. Cutback and drop may do it, on the watch list we go...Cice
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