Wednesday 30th of January's cancellation at Aqueduct was a disappointment to those that handicapped that card. As the cancellation loomed while the horses were in the paddock for the 4th race, the winds at JFK were measured at 35 knots gusting to 42 knots, the temp was 45F. These are borderline conditions for a cancellation, especially with the track in pristine fast condition, which is amazing after 6 hours of morning rain. The conditions improved/winds decreased after the cancellation, but being the Monday morning weather man is much easier gig than heavy wind gust jockey.
Someone from Santa Anita should go out to Aqueduct to find out how the masters at NYRA maintain a safe track in the difficult weather conditions of New York. These cancellations are a drain on track business but are acceptable if isolated. Aqueduct does a great job isolating the cancellations to only the most extreme of weather events.
Wednesdays cancellation was a disappointment as this was one of the most interesting mid-week cards NYRA had all 2008, with several classy starter handicaps and intriguing route races were on tap. Npot the usual fare of maiden claimer sprints and New York bred allowances. As good as the card was it was canceled in the name of safety, so any rational person can not argue with the decision. Todays conditions will be much better with clear blue skies, winds out of the northwest to 10 knots and highs near 40F.
Good news is that Multiple Choice the hard knocking ten year old sprinter has been retired by trainer Joe Imperio. Always good news when one of the old warhorses gets to go home and live his life out with dignity. Imperio deserves some racing luck after doing the right thing. Here are Multiple Choices lifetime PP's.
No news on the white Elephant in the room, as the state continues to take no action on the Franchise and slot contracts. NYRA shutting down Aqueduct on the 14th of February is a very real possibility. It may be a shrewd move to transfer your bankroll out of your NYRA rewards account on the 12th of February to avoid having it tied up by a shutdown of operations.
Power cap- existential handicapping
31 January 2008
30 January 2008
30 Jan 2008 Play of the day
Aqueduct Race 1- Lone speed set up for #6 Eight Solid Hearts. Will surely be loose in here and with some moisture in the track this one could score at a nice price. Glad her last start was at the distance, she should be stronger in the lane today. Questionable form with no work since the last race but at this level these things can be excused.
W#6 Eight Solid Hearts
Stats
11 3-0-1
strike rate 27%
cumulative return $37.00
ROI $3.36
W#6 Eight Solid Hearts
Stats
11 3-0-1
strike rate 27%
cumulative return $37.00
ROI $3.36
25 January 2008
25JAN Play of the day
Race 1 #7 Simply Gifted
Like the class drop on #7 Simply Gifted and the ML of 8-1, anything close to that is major value. In addition to the class drop we get a back class edge as she won for a 50K tag over the summer something noone else in this field can claim. Also like that she is running for the 4YO condition and not the N3L beaten claimer condition. 3rd off the layoff form with a really nice blowout the other day seals the deal.
Race 1 Win #7
Power Cap stats
Stats
10 3-0-1
strike rate 30%
cumulative return $37.00
ROI $3.70
Like the class drop on #7 Simply Gifted and the ML of 8-1, anything close to that is major value. In addition to the class drop we get a back class edge as she won for a 50K tag over the summer something noone else in this field can claim. Also like that she is running for the 4YO condition and not the N3L beaten claimer condition. 3rd off the layoff form with a really nice blowout the other day seals the deal.
Race 1 Win #7
Power Cap stats
Stats
10 3-0-1
strike rate 30%
cumulative return $37.00
ROI $3.70
24 January 2008
Major government expansion on tap for Albany
What is going on up in Albany? While it has taken over four years for Albany to sort out the racing franchise it seems like overnight a gaggle of new taxes and hidden taxes have been introduced. Looks like Albany is desperate for revenue with the lack of VLT's at Aqueduct and a slowing Wall Street/mortgage crisis. Just today Spitzer announced new taxes on on-line purchases, new taxes on Marijuana, a VLT casino at Belmont and expanded quick draw games.
How much taxation can the residents of New York take? Could these officials ever just cut out some of their programs? Millions live without the teat of government perpetually available for a lifetime of suckling. It looks like we are quickly moving towards a 100% effective tax rate in New York State. All the while the franchise mess has still not been resolved. Had the franchise mess been resolved on time, billions of dollars from the VLT (suckers) players would have been funding program after program and paying off past debts. Now we are facing a barrage of new taxes along with increased government corruption. Pepper that with uncertainty and you have to wonder how were 70% of New York voters hoodwinked into voting for Spitzer? Those must have been some clever TV ads that suckered them into the Spitzer era. Good job Mr. Steamroller and the voters of New York should be embarrassed of themselves.
How much taxation can the residents of New York take? Could these officials ever just cut out some of their programs? Millions live without the teat of government perpetually available for a lifetime of suckling. It looks like we are quickly moving towards a 100% effective tax rate in New York State. All the while the franchise mess has still not been resolved. Had the franchise mess been resolved on time, billions of dollars from the VLT (suckers) players would have been funding program after program and paying off past debts. Now we are facing a barrage of new taxes along with increased government corruption. Pepper that with uncertainty and you have to wonder how were 70% of New York voters hoodwinked into voting for Spitzer? Those must have been some clever TV ads that suckered them into the Spitzer era. Good job Mr. Steamroller and the voters of New York should be embarrassed of themselves.
Barbaro Memorial for central park
Sculptor Daniel Edwards will reveal a statue of Barbaro in Central Park New York. It depicts Barbaro on his back in distress after injury, a scene imagined by the artist. The sculpture is going to be placed in the same location where a carriage horse was murdered by a vehicle. There is also a tie in to new legislation.
It looks like all tradional rules are being abondoned here as rules dictate that two hooves off the ground means that rider or horse died in battle. One hoof off the ground means injury in battle. All hooves on the ground indicate surviving unscathed. In the new paradigm four hooves off the ground means you are going for media shock value. I think Barbaro deserves a traditional sculpture that respects him and tradition, as racing is not a passing fad like shock value media.
It seems like this work is inspired by those in the animal rights movement as the unveiling will correspond to the unveiling of Barbaros law which requires reporting of race horse injuries. The government will now using our tax money to pry into the secretive backstretch and shine some light on what happens during training hours.
The first look at this work seems like it makes a mockery out of racing. If the artist wanted to depict the death of a horse on the spot where a carriage horse was murdered perhaps the artist should have depicted the carriage horse. In this day and age the artist went for the media connection as Barbaro is the most well known horse in America after Secretariat. Most will know about Barbaro and a positive association is assured for the the racing ignorant masses. The masses will have little association if a carriage horse was portrayed in his moment of agony.
Perhaps those in the Manhattan liberal elite thumb there nose at racing since racing appeals to the upper class class or working class. Neither groups that racing appeals to relate to liberal causes. Racing has little appeal in the liberal bourgeoisie class or the liberal welfare class. It looks like the Manhattan liberals are launching a cannonball attack into the starboard side of the racing media vessel. The objective of this sculpture is to defame racing and this work has government approval as it is on New York City property at Central Park.
The masses and the media are completely clueless on the ongoing New York franchise ordeal
It looks like Spitzer is now leaning towards installing 4500 slot machines at Belmont Park. After opposing the slots for months Spitzer has changed his stance on the issue. Is this a compromise with Bruno to get this desperately overdue process over? Have all of the kickbacks and backroom deals been allocated? With the media derelict of its duty to inform the only information available is on the internet. One must troll the various TBA BLOGS or messages boards to stay up to date.
The mainstream press and the masses seem to be clueless on this issue. Can the local paper Newsday at least get the name of Belmont correct? It is Belmont Park not Belmont raceway. When professional reporters can not get the names correct you know we are dealing with rank amateurs. The journalistic equivalent of a 5K maiden claimer. Newsday is a complete embarrassment and Paul Moran has become a beacon of truth since leaving that mis-informer of the masses.
Belmont is a beautiful property and the crown jewel of sports venues in the New York City metro area. With an average handle around $10 million dollars a day Belmont does not need slots to succeed. With smart management and a benevolent regulator Belmont could expand its handle and attendance. However the greedy hand of the ever growing government continues to undermine racing operations. The approval of VLT's or slots has little to nothing to do with growing purses but is a means to expand the States vast gambling monopoly and to feed its coffers. With little of no resistance from the people the expansion of the government continues and the media continues to be derelict in its duty to inform. We can only hope that New York racing survives this ordeal.
The mainstream press and the masses seem to be clueless on this issue. Can the local paper Newsday at least get the name of Belmont correct? It is Belmont Park not Belmont raceway. When professional reporters can not get the names correct you know we are dealing with rank amateurs. The journalistic equivalent of a 5K maiden claimer. Newsday is a complete embarrassment and Paul Moran has become a beacon of truth since leaving that mis-informer of the masses.
Belmont is a beautiful property and the crown jewel of sports venues in the New York City metro area. With an average handle around $10 million dollars a day Belmont does not need slots to succeed. With smart management and a benevolent regulator Belmont could expand its handle and attendance. However the greedy hand of the ever growing government continues to undermine racing operations. The approval of VLT's or slots has little to nothing to do with growing purses but is a means to expand the States vast gambling monopoly and to feed its coffers. With little of no resistance from the people the expansion of the government continues and the media continues to be derelict in its duty to inform. We can only hope that New York racing survives this ordeal.
Play of the day 24 Jan 2008
Aqueduct Race 7
Anything close to the morning line of 12-1 is a steal on #4 Rushbuckler. This 8 year old gelding fits the condition to a tee with a win on 14JuL just under the 24Jul cutoff. It was also against 25K open claimers. This guy has the goods to wire this field. The pace competition figures to come from Graynumberfive who proved himself a over the top horse last out. Other pace pressure may come from #12 Sea Cat who appears outclassed and doomed to chase while far outside. We will take a price here on Rushbuckler.
Race #7 Win #4 Rushbuckler
Stats
9 2-0-1
strike rate $22%
cumulative return $25.80
ROI $2.86
Anything close to the morning line of 12-1 is a steal on #4 Rushbuckler. This 8 year old gelding fits the condition to a tee with a win on 14JuL just under the 24Jul cutoff. It was also against 25K open claimers. This guy has the goods to wire this field. The pace competition figures to come from Graynumberfive who proved himself a over the top horse last out. Other pace pressure may come from #12 Sea Cat who appears outclassed and doomed to chase while far outside. We will take a price here on Rushbuckler.
Race #7 Win #4 Rushbuckler
Stats
9 2-0-1
strike rate $22%
cumulative return $25.80
ROI $2.86
20 January 2008
Play of the day 20 JAN 2008
For the first time I can not resist and I am going to pick chalk as the play of the day. Lets look at race 7 at Aqueduct.
Dr. W holds an edge in all three of the fundamental handicapping factors, pace, class and form. A Horse with these types of edges are solid foundations to build wagers around. They just might be the best wagers in all of gambling, we are talking the nuts of the nuts. He is the speed of the speed on a frozen tundra speed favoring course. He is the class of the race winning two open company races including the tough 50K starter allowance condition. Today is a drop in class to New York bred N1X off a win versus open a rare scenario. For the final edge he is third off the layoff, which many say is the sweet spot in the form cycle. The only negative is that he is unproven routing but the three edges neutralize that unknown along with good route breeding. Also consider that stretch out speed horses that are clearly the speed of the speed in two turn races have won more than their share of races over the years on Aqueduct inner dirt.
Race 7 W#6
Power Cap stats
8 2-0-1
strike rate 25%
cumulative return $25.80
$2 ROI $3.23
Dr. W holds an edge in all three of the fundamental handicapping factors, pace, class and form. A Horse with these types of edges are solid foundations to build wagers around. They just might be the best wagers in all of gambling, we are talking the nuts of the nuts. He is the speed of the speed on a frozen tundra speed favoring course. He is the class of the race winning two open company races including the tough 50K starter allowance condition. Today is a drop in class to New York bred N1X off a win versus open a rare scenario. For the final edge he is third off the layoff, which many say is the sweet spot in the form cycle. The only negative is that he is unproven routing but the three edges neutralize that unknown along with good route breeding. Also consider that stretch out speed horses that are clearly the speed of the speed in two turn races have won more than their share of races over the years on Aqueduct inner dirt.
Race 7 W#6
Power Cap stats
8 2-0-1
strike rate 25%
cumulative return $25.80
$2 ROI $3.23
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