Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

29 July 2008

Spa Bomb Parade On Maniac Monday

The Spa faithful have seen a barrage of bombs the last few days. On Monday 8 of the 10 races paid boxcars, with the biggest price being Unflagging a Weaver first time starter at 30-1. (how great is weaver on the turf off the bench?) This has to be tough on the action junkies who could not be coming up with these illogical horses race after race. Mondays at the Spa have traditionally been the day for all hell to break loose, today it broke loose with a vengeance.

For example look at 22-1 winner Cagey Girl. She failed miserably last race where she was a lone speed on the speed favoring Belmont Inner Course. At a short 7-2 price she never made the top even with a sweetheart lone speed set-up on paper. On Monday she had to deal with many other speed horses in a much stronger field. Reflecting the increased saltiness of the field Cagey Girls price ballooned to 22-1 as the crowd did not take her very seriously as a win prospect. Left alone on a lonesome lead she cruised to victory with out being challenged by any of the other speed horses like Stormy Relations or Absolute Heaven that figured to press her into defeat.

Seems like the way to make money on these cards is to find a core opinion and cover unlikely scenarios around it. Make chaos your friend. If someone liked 2-1 Kodiac Kowboy they could have flipped a $6 winner into a $37K score with the right use of bombs surrounding him in the pick 4 sequence. For those who have not been able to get a piece of the big price action time may be running out, things are bound to settle down as the meet moves on, at least outside of Maniac Mondays. For those of us in the red we have five weeks weeks to get back to the black.

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