Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

04 April 2011

Better get to know a Derby prospect: Dialed In

Nickname: Ice Box Jr.

First Impression: A deep closing three years old colt trained by Zito, this seems familiar.

The case for this horse winning the Derby: Usually the pace of the Derby is extremely fast and horses who come off the pace fare well in this type of scenario.

Case Against: The same tactics that give Ice Box an edge over his front running rivals also could work against him. The Derby has more traffic tie ups than midtown Manhattan during the afternoon.

Zito once again has a Derby runner after being prominent, but not winning any of the three spring classics last year. This one is probably better than the contemporary that he mirrors, Ice Box. Last year Ice Box went into the Derby with maiden and an upset win in the Florida Derby. Dialed In has three decent efforts to his name this year and a start at two for some classic foundation.

If Uncle Mo doesn’t make the race he could end up being the favorite. If the juvenile champ does run, then Dialed In will probably be one of the commonly used alternatives to Uncle Mo. The key with the closer types is the works leading up to the race. If a closer shows bullets or fast works leading up to a race, the horse is ready to run a big one.

1 comment:

Brian Appleton said...

If (big 'if) Uncle Mo, The Factor and Premier Pegasus all win their final preps this weekend and next we're going to be looking at 5 very short priced favorites in the Derby.
Dialed In really looked good to me but I think in a 20 horse field horses like Uncle Mo and Premier Pegasus who sit closer up will have a much better chance to get the jump on him.