Power Cap

Power cap- existential handicapping

09 May 2008

Peter Pan Yields A Great Betting Oppurtunity

The Peter Pan is especially interesting this year. There is a ton of hype on a set of foreign horses. The connections of Casino Drive and are completely overestimating the breding factor trying to win the Belmont off a 2 race career. At the very least Casino drive is sure to need this race. While we know a half sister and half brother of Casino Drive won the Belmont, however the breeding is not going to overcome a complete lack of seasoning or experience. It looks like Casino Drive will be the favorite here off all the hype and has only a small chance to win the race. The second choice is another foreign runner, the horse from Peru Tomcito, who is yet to run a winning race in this country. While we were looking forward to Tomcito coming to New York he has not lived up to the hype. There is the memory of the Florida Derby with him toiling twelve lengths behind the winner unable to make up ground with his legs paddling upstream like a Mississippi river boat. It was not a pretty sight. With the first two choices in the Peter Pan vulnerable horses the whole theme of the Peter Pan should be bet against the foreigners. Value looms in this race.

The legitimate contenders are Golden Spikes, Ready's Echo and Cosmic, all well bred dirt horses from class connections. With the hype horses garnering the majority of attention a fair price will be available on the true contenders, especially in the exotic pools. Golden Spikes chased Recapturetheglory around the track in the paceless Illinois Derby and should be stronger in the lane today after a string of nine furlong races. Ready's Echo had that flashy race up at Saratoga where he closed like a rocket after being left at the gate. Then Echo was able to close off the layoff in the uphill quicksand at Keeneland, he could be something special. Cosmic is bred well and has proven effective at the distance and in form. Box those and use them in the multi-leg exotics for a value infusion.

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